That’s the question you must answer in order to understand the 2016 Presidential election: “Is Hillary Clinton just a ventriloquist’s dummy? Or is she a real person?”
Perhaps a bit of context needs to be provided.
563,000 Ohioans and 340,000 Pennsylvanians who voted for Clinton in the 2008 Democratic primary, did NOT vote for her in the 2016 primary. That loss of support completely wiped out the lead she had coming into the campaign, if you stipulate that she inherited Obama’s margin of victory (which was 167,000 in Ohio and 310,000 in Pennsylvania).
That put her 396,000 behind in Ohio at the time of the primary (March 15) and 30,000 behind in Pennsylvania as of April 26. She was not cruising to victory; rather, she was already losing the Electoral College long before the July disclosures of Comey and Wikileaks. The voters made their decision in March and April.
Well, if this happened long before Comey and Wikileaks … then what caused it?
It was her coal comment on March 13 that she would put a lot more coal miners out of business. Plus her further pronouncement on March 14 that she would move America away from all fossil fuels. Then on March 15, Ohio voted and said “No thanks!” to her policies, a drop of 563,000 votes in her support compared to 2008.
A bit more context here will help. Bureau of Labor Statistics data might show only 15-20 thousand jobs directly in coal mining in OH or PA, so how can that move 563k or 340k voters? Well, OH and PA also have substantial activity in oil and gas, so the fossil fuels comment threatened those jobs as well as coal.
And there’s a third category of jobs not specifically mentioned in Clinton’s comments but which would be clobbered by her policies: manufacturing jobs. A large chunk of manufacturing jobs are devoted to making the equipment used to locate, extract, transport, refine, store and deliver fossil fuels. Another large chunk of manufacturing jobs are devoted to making equipment that runs on fossil fuels. So if she moves America away from all fossil fuels, she destroys a ton of manufacturing jobs.
The working people of America rejected her policies because her policies promised to destroy their jobs. And they did so at the time of the primaries, in March and April.
Comey and Wikileaks had nothing to do with it – they happened in July. She was already losing the Electoral College in March and April.
In many states, the movement of workers turning away from Clinton did not change the overall result – those states remained blue or red as they had been. But in a handful of battleground states where there are a lot of manufacturing jobs (OH, PA, MI, WI, IA), this movement of workers turning away from Clinton was enough to flip the Electoral College.
Okay, now you’ve got the context. So, is Hillary Clinton just a ventriloquist’s dummy being manipulated by the vast right-wing conspiracy hiding under the Harry Potter invisibility cloak and making the dummy’s lips move? Were 903,000 Ohioans and Pennsylvanians who had voted for her in the 2008 primary fiendishly deceived into thinking that these words came out of Hillary Clinton’s mouth?
Or is Hillary Clinton a real person and these words came out of her mouth because she chose to speak these words?
I’m gonna go with the real person who chose to speak these words, as my answer.
And that means she lost the election because voters rejected her policies. And they rejected her policies because her policies promised to destroy their jobs. And they made their decision in March and April, long before Comey or Wikileaks entered the picture.
We elected Trump fair and square, and it’s time to make the sore-loser spoiled brats get over it. Line up all the Democratic contenders for the 2020 nomination and make them declare whether they think Hillary Clinton is just a ventriloquist’s dummy or a real person who chose to speak these words. That would actually be quite a show, wouldn’t it?
ERpundit – 03/03/19